US Election 2024 At a jubilant national convention in Chicago two months ago, Kamala Harris was crowned the Democratic presidential nominee.
She was the electoral savior for thousands of party members, succeeding an 81-year-old incumbent who appeared incapable of defeating Donald Trump and winning another term.
However, senior party strategists informed me at the time that they were concerned Democrats were overconfident about her chances of victory. Now that election day is getting closer and people are getting more nervous, it looks like they were right.
Compared to President Joe Biden, who was lagging far behind Trump, Harris undoubtedly enjoyed a surge of momentum and an instant and significant boost in the polls. However, it appears that she is regaining support from those who would normally vote Democratic but were concerned about Biden’s age.
Harris must maintain the fragile coalition that helped Biden win in 2020 while attracting voters from outside the Democrats’ base for success.
According to the most recent polls, the race has gotten closer in recent weeks and is now basically tied.
Polls on the election: is Harris or Trump winning?
Follow the latest from the campaign trail Worrying for Democrats is that Trump has gained ground in the crucial “blue wall” states, such as Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, where Harris has the best chance of winning, as well as among voters of color and Latinos.
The poll results are within the margin of error, despite the fact that the race is tied in the most important swing states. To put it another way, they might be wrong.
However, in the past few days, Harris’s criticism of Trump, her Republican opponent, has become much darker. She mocked Trump at the convention, labeling him an “unserious man” and “weird.” She now describes him as “increasingly unhinged and unstable” and a “fascist.”
Her initial message of wanting to bring “joy” has changed into one of fear, warning of what she believes would be dangerous outcomes if Trump were to win a second term.
According to polls, Harris is probably going to win the popular vote. However, that will not suffice. To win in the electoral college, she must win key battleground states.
However, as I have traveled through the majority of those states in recent weeks, the reservations that many voters still have regarding Harris—a woman about whom they believe they still lack sufficient knowledge—have become abundantly clear.
“I won’t forgive the Democrats” presents Harris with a particular challenge in Michigan, which has the highest Arab-American voter turnout in the United States.
Biden won the state in 2020 by just over 150,000 votes, but the party’s standing among the 300,000 Arab-Americans who live here has been severely harmed by his administration’s inability to contain Israel’s attacks on Gaza and Lebanon.
Biden’s vice president, Harris, is being held equally accountable.
I met a group of lifelong Democrats who normally would be out campaigning at the Haraz coffee shop in Dearborn, a Middle Eastern-style café that serves Turkish coffee and pomegranate juice.